The numbers
The 2026 MLB season is on the horizon, and predictions are already being made regarding team standings based on last year’s performances and offseason changes. The New York Yankees, who led the American League in runs scored last year, are expected to remain a formidable force in the league. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles, who suffered an 87-loss season, are anticipated to bounce back, with optimism surrounding their revamped rotation after acquiring Shane Baz and signing Chris Bassitt.
The Boston Red Sox have made significant moves this offseason, adding three starting pitchers, a first baseman, and an infielder, which could lead to an expected 90 wins in many scenarios. In contrast, the Toronto Blue Jays, who won the pennant last year, are not bringing back the same offensive lineup, raising questions about their ability to replicate past success.
In the American League Central, the Detroit Tigers have strengthened their rotation with the addition of Framber Valdez. Despite being labeled as flawed, analysts suggest they are the least flawed team in their division. The Kansas City Royals, who won 82 games last year, are also in the mix, while the Cleveland Guardians are facing challenges with one of the league’s weakest offenses from the previous season.
In the American League West, the Seattle Mariners are viewed as one of the few teams from 2025 that could contend again in 2026 with only minor adjustments. The Houston Astros, however, had a below-average offense last year, which could hinder their performance moving forward.
Shifting focus to the National League, the New York Mets have made headlines by adding Freddy Peralta and Bo Bichette to their roster, leading some to believe they might be the most improved team in baseball this year, at least on paper. The Philadelphia Phillies, who won 96 games last year, are also expected to remain competitive.
However, the Washington Nationals are projected to struggle significantly, with expectations of losing 110 games this year. Their defense allowed an average of 5.5 runs per game last season, contributing to their bleak outlook.
As the season approaches, observers are keenly watching how these predictions play out, especially with key players like Aaron Judge, who turns 34 this year, and the impact of injuries on teams like the Atlanta Braves, who lost three starting pitchers. Details remain unconfirmed regarding how these factors will influence the standings as the teams prepare for the upcoming season.
