The Golden Knights are favored at -150 as they face the Penguins on Sunday afternoon on the road.
The Penguins have achieved a perfect 5-0 record in their last five matchups against teams from the Western Conference, and the home side has triumphed in seven consecutive encounters within this rivalry.
Continue reading for my analysis and predictions on the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup, along with the most recent injury updates for Sunday’s afternoon game.
The Vegas Golden Knights (28-17-14, 14-9-7 on the road) conclude a five-game away stretch on Sunday afternoon in Pittsburgh, facing off against the Penguins (30-15-13, 14-8-7 at home). While the latest NHL odds favor Vegas, the Penguins have had a strong home advantage in this matchup lately.
The puck is scheduled to drop at 1 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena, with TNT handling the broadcast coverage.
Here are my predictions and picks for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup, along with the most recent injury updates leading into Sunday’s game.
Prediction for the Golden Knights against the Penguins
Penguins Moneyline (+130 at FanDuel)
Brady Trettenero Betting Odds Home Team Moneyline NHL • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 128 on FanDuel Check out all 1 selections Betslip #1772356410580-481c-541
My prediction for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup favors Pittsburgh at favorable odds. The home team has triumphed in seven consecutive encounters between these teams, while Vegas has lost all four of their recent visits to PPG Paints Arena. Additionally, the Penguins are on a 5-0 streak against teams from the Western Conference and have won their last four games against the Pacific Division.
Head-to-Head Outcomes: Golden Knights and Penguins
Results for the Date O/U (6) Mar 11, 2025: PIT 3 – VEG 2 OT Under; Mar 7, 2025: VEG 4 – PIT 0 Under; Jan 20, 2024: VEG 3 – PIT 2 Under; Nov 19, 2023: PIT 3 – VEG 0 Under
Looking past the current trends, the Golden Knights have lost their last six games when playing after just one day of rest, holding a record of 0-6. They are also 1-5 in their previous six matchups against teams from the Eastern Conference. Additionally, this game is set to begin at 1 pm ET, which translates to 10 am in Vegas. The Penguins, on the other hand, are coming off a shootout defeat to the Rangers and will be playing without a day off, but their performance in back-to-back games this season has been impressive.
The goaltending advantage is significant as well. Arturs Silovs is expected to be the starting goalie for Pittsburgh following Stuart Skinner’s appearance on Saturday, and Silovs performed well in his previous game, conceding only one goal on 31 shots against New Jersey. On the other side, Vegas will start Akira Schmid, who has a 2.55 GAA but has shown inconsistency, recording save percentages under .900 in three of his last five games.
Picks for the Golden Knights against the Penguins
Fewer than 6.5 Goals (-120 at DraftKings)
Brady Trettenero Betting Odds Under +6.5 Over/Under NHL • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins -120 on DraftKings Check out all 1 selections Betslip #1772356430700-481c-428
The under has prevailed in four consecutive matchups, and none of the last four encounters in this rivalry have seen more than five goals scored. Pittsburgh holds the second spot in penalty kill efficiency (84.12%), while Vegas is also second in the fewest penalty minutes per game (6.88). Both teams are effectively avoiding unnecessary power-play opportunities, which constrains the potential for scoring.
My preferred wager for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup is the under, particularly with Silovs appearing sharp and both squads exhibiting strong defensive play. Pittsburgh has conceded only 25 goals in their past 10 games, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
Odds for the Golden Knights against the Penguins
As of March 1, according to consensus sportsbooks, new users can utilize the FanDuel promo code to place bets on today’s NHL games, including the matchup between the Golden Knights and the Penguins.
The current odds for the Golden Knights vs Penguins matchup show Vegas at approximately -150 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is positioned as the home underdog at +130. The puck line is established at -1.5 for the Knights, with odds of +162, and the total is set at 6.5, with the under slightly favored at -120.
Injury Updates for Golden Knights vs Penguins
The most significant update regarding the Golden Knights vs Penguins injury situation involves Sidney Crosby, who is still sidelined due to a leg injury incurred during the Olympics. Prior to his injury, he recorded 27 goals and 32 assists (59 points) across 56 games. In his absence, Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust have risen to the occasion, while Kris Letang has continued to contribute effectively from the defense.
The Penguins are also missing defenseman Jack St. Ivany (hand), while Filip Hallander (leg) is considered day-to-day. The Golden Knights will be without Carter Hart (leg), William Karlsson (lower body), and Brett Howden (lower body), with Jonas Rondbjerg (undisclosed) also marked as day-to-day.
